Jordan Sperber's video on Hoopvision is worth the 12 minutes to watch, especially as you enter the post-season.
He is also a great twitter follow. Learning from these former basketball coaches, turned data scientists is my new jam.
My take-aways?
When you foul up three points, how much time on the clock matters. You don't want to give the team the chance to make two FT's, foul you, you miss, then they have extended the game to get a shot off.
Teach your team how to unintentionally, yet intentionally foul. I can't imagine anything worse than up three, getting called for an intentional foul, giving the opposing team two FT's and the ball back SLOB.
Based on Ken Pomeroy's data set, there is no real statistical advantage of fouling up three versus defending straight up.